In this post I want to suggest a path to maximizing our returns from Sovryn’s BOS allocation. I want to maximise the following:
- The value returned to SOV stakers
- The value of the SOV token
- The future of Sovryn
I have been watching what Michael Saylor is doing with great interest and I think there are important lessons for us. Saylor has managed to architect a situation where the assets he is acquiring are maximizing value for shareholders and bondholders, while at the same time building the future of Microstrategy. This is a feat of business strategy, corporate governance and financial engineering.
Elsewhere I have spoken about a plan to develop a significant asset base for Sovryn - not just of BOS, but also of other tokens. My view is if Sovryn ends up with a significant amount of tokens, it could trade at a premium to NAV (net asset value). That means that if the tokens held by Sovryn are equal to X, the marketcap of SOV can be greater than X, trade at a multiple to X.
How can we achieve this?
Before I answer that question, I would like to propose that there are two ways we can distribute BOS (and other tokens) that I have not seen much discussed.
- SOV Token Yield
- SOV Burn/Token Release
SOV Token Yield
Currently SOV pays yield from DeFi protocol revenue, primarily in the form of BTC. This value is paid out on a bi-weekly basis according to VP. SOV token yield would mean that the token assets held by Sovryn would be paid out over time, according to VP. This would have several advantages:
- It would make future returns on staking more obvious and guaranteed, increasing staking desirability.
- It would mean that tokens are not ‘dumped’ all at once.
- It would make SOV an “index” like asset that represents broad exposure to the Bitcoin-native ecosystem
SOV Burn/Token Release
In this method, SOV holders can seek immediate (pro-rata) liquid tokens. Let’s assume someone holds 1% of SOV. They can burn this 1% to release to themselves 1% of the tokens held by Sovryn.
- SOV would have a floor value of the tokens held by Sovryn.
- As more tokens are added, the value of SOV would increase.
- The circulating supply of SOV would constantly decrease
So we can create a floor value for SOV. How can we create a premium to that value?
Typically a business is valued on its current assets, plus the future value of those assets, plus its future earnings potential, plus intangibles. Saylor has demonstrated that in addition to these, there is also value in a highly volatile asset that can be hedged against.
There is significant growth in “liquid token funds” - traders and funds who need now to generate yield on tokens. I expect this growth to accelerate. Now imagine you are just such a trader. I offer you the following opportunity: Buy SOV, go short BOS. If SOV outperforms BOS, you have made a tidy profit. And your downside risk? Zero. SOV cannot underperform BOS.
These funds are similar to the bond houses MSTR is selling its 0% interest bonds to - they need exposure and there are not a lot of places to get it. Sovryn can create a product for this market that is unique and highly valuable.
Now, why would SOV outperform BOS? Perhaps it has added more tokens to its treasury. Perhaps it is working on a new, exciting project. Perhaps more people are realizing the asymmetric nature of this trade and are beginning to bid for its premium, so part of that premium is starting to be reflected in SOV price. Perhaps all of the above.
Microstrategy did not happen overnight, it began its BTC purchases and incrementally perfected its “tokenomics”. As it ramped up, its premium to NAV ramped up with it. MSTR premium to NAV is now between 2.5-3X.
If we play our cards right, we can make a lot of people very angry about how “overvalued” SOV is.
Food for thought. Stay Sovryn.